[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 130252
SPFAT5
TROPICAL STORM EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE JUL 12 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  54.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST FRI JUL 15 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

11.8N  60.3W      48  2  X  X 50   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  3  1  4
12.7N  63.6W       1 33  1  X 35   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  8  2 10
13.7N  66.9W       X  3 23  1 27   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  5  3  8
SKPG 125N 717W     X  X  1 12 13   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  6  7 13
TNCC 122N 690W     X  X 10  6 16   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  1 14 15
SVMG 110N 640W     X 19  3  X 22   MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  X 19 19
TTPP 106N 614W    19 10  X  X 29   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X 16 16
TTPT 112N 608W    37  4  X  X 41   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X 16 16
TGPY 120N 618W    22 19  X  X 41   MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X  9  9
TBPB 131N 595W    46  1  X  X 47   MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X  5  5
TVSV 131N 612W    29 14  X  X 43   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  7  7
TLPL 138N 610W    21 16  X  X 37   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  4  6 10
TFFF 146N 610W     8 19  X  X 27   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X 10 10
TDPR 153N 614W     2 17  1  X 20   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  3  3
80400 157N 636W    X 14  8  X 22   ST CROIX VI        X  X  8  2 10
TFFR 163N 615W     X  7  2  X  9   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  5  3  8
TAPA 171N 618W     X  3  2  X  5   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  4  6 10
TKPK 173N 627W     X  2  4  1  7   PONCE PR           X  X  6  7 13

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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