[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 121444
SPFAT5
TROPICAL STORM EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST TUE JUL 12 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  51.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST FRI JUL 15 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

11.9N  57.0W      49  1  X  X 50   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X 11  5 16
12.8N  60.2W       1 33  1  X 35   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  5  8 13
14.0N  63.5W       X  2 24  1 27   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  4 13 17
SKPG 125N 717W     X  X  X  4  4   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  2 13 15
TNCC 122N 690W     X  X  X  8  8   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  1 17 18
SVMG 110N 640W     X  1  8  1 10   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X 16 16
TTPP 106N 614W     X  9  4  X 13   MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  X 16 16
TTPT 112N 608W     X 19  2  1 22   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X 12 12
TGPY 120N 618W     X 17  8  X 25   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X  8  8
TBPB 131N 595W     3 34  1  X 38   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  2  2
TVSV 131N 612W     X 26  6  X 32   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  1 15 16
TLPL 138N 610W     X 26  7  X 33   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X 10 10
TFFF 146N 610W     X 20 10  X 30   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  3  3
TDPR 153N 614W     X 10 16  1 27   ST CROIX VI        X  X  4 13 17
80400 157N 636W    X  X 21  3 24   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  2 13 15
TFFR 163N 615W     X  3 16  1 20   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  1 15 16
TAPA 171N 618W     X  1 12  2 15   PONCE PR           X  X  1 17 18

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
C FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
D FROM  8AM THU TO  8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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