[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 112039
SPFAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON JUL 11 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  46.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST THU JUL 14 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

11.6N  50.3W      47  1  X  X 48   TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  X 22 22
12.4N  53.2W       2 31  1  X 34   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  X 20 20
13.2N  56.5W       X  3 23  1 27   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  X 19 19
SVMG 110N 640W     X  X  X  3  3   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X 16 16
TTPP 106N 614W     X  X  X  6  6   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  X 15 15
TTPT 112N 608W     X  X  1  9 10   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X 12 12
TGPY 120N 618W     X  X  X 13 13   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X  9  9
TBPB 131N 595W     X  X  8 13 21   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  9  9
TVSV 131N 612W     X  X  1 17 18   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X 15 15
TLPL 138N 610W     X  X  2 19 21   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X 12 12
TFFF 146N 610W     X  X  1 22 23   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  9  9
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  1 22 23   PONCE PR           X  X  X  9  9
80400 157N 636W    X  X  X 20 20

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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