[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 110159
HLSMOB
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-110300-

TROPICAL STORM DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
900 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005

...DENNIS CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA...

...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS...

...THE INLAND HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS
OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA
AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AT 8 PM CDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MOBILE
TO DESTIN. CORRESPONDINGLY...THE INLAND PORTION OF THESE COUNTIES
REMAIN IN AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING. ALSO...ALL INLAND
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN CANCELLED FOR SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI. FINALLY...THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR
BUTLER...CRENSHAW AND COVINGTON COUNTIES HAVE BEEN CANCELLED. FOR THE
LATEST BREAKDOWN ON TROPICAL WARNING PRODUCTS PLEASE SEE THE
BHMNPWMOB PRODUCT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH
TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. FOR THE LATEST PLEASE SEE THE PRODUCT
BHMFFAMOB.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CHOCTAW...CLARKE...MONROE...
WASHINGTON AND WILCOX COUNTIES UNTIL 11 PM CDT.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM CDT...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS
LOCATED NEAR 31.7 NORTH LATITUDE AND 87.6 WEST LONGITUDE...OR 20
MILES NORTHEAST OF JACKSON ALABAMA.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE WAS ESTIMATED AT 972 MB...OR...28.70 INCHES.  DENNIS HAS
SLOWED AND IS NOW MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT THIS TIME...THE STORM HAS MADE LANDFALL.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE IS STILL FALLING BETWEEN MOBILE AND
DESTIN. AREA TIDE GAUGES AT 7 PM CDT SHOW 3.7 FEET AT DESTIN EAST
PASS...3.7 FEET AT PERDIDO PASS...3.7 FEET AT SANTA ROSA SOUND...3.4
FEET AT MOBILE STATE DOCKS AND 1.3 FEET AT DAUPHIN ISLAND.

...WIND IMPACTS...
THROUGH 9 PM CDT...TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WILL CONTINUE MOVING TO THE
NORTHWEST OUT OF CLARKE AND WILCOX COUNTY. WIND ARE GENERALLY 60 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL BE HIGHEST AROUND THE CENTER OF
DENNIS...WHICH CONTINUES TO WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY.

...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS...
STAY OUT OF THE WATER. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE
RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY THROUGH MONDAY.  DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE
WATER TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY!  RESIDUAL DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL
REMAIN.

THE THREAT OF WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS ENDING AS DENNIS LIFTS
OUT AND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN.

DUE TO RAINFALL RECEIVED FROM DENNIS...LATEST RAINFALL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS THAT RIVER FLOODING COULD POTENTIALLY BE WORSE THAN IVAN OF
2004...BUT NOT AS SEVERE AS HURRICANE GEORGES OF 1998.  AREA RIVERS
WILL GO INTO FLOOD SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
TO REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGHOUT THE UPCOMING MIDWEEK.  THE
RIVER FLOODING IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK OF DENNIS.  THE
AREA OF GREATEST INLAND FLOOD CONCERN INCLUDES THE CONECUH RIVER...
MURDER CREEK AND BIG ESCAMBIA CREEK IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE
SHOAL...YELLOW AND BLACKWATER RIVERS IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

...TORNADO THREAT...AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS POSSIBLE...CONCENTRATED
AROUND AND TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF
DENNIS. THE TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES TO DECREASE AS THE CIRCULATION
INTENSITY HAS GREATLY DIMINISHED.

TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENTS WILL BE PREPARED EVERY ONE TO TWO
HOURS AND WILL REFLECT THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS OF THE SHORT-TERM
MOVEMENT OF DENNIS. THIS PRODUCT WILL BE SHORTENED TO REFLECT AND
FOCUS ON THE MOST IMPORTANT INFORMATION AS DENNIS EVOLVES.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND
9 PM CDT.

$$

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