[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 101517
HLSTAE

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-101945-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1116 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005

...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER
WESTWARD...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT EAST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER...
...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR
FLORIDA BIG BEND...
...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT)...
...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA.

...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF
WALTON...BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WAKULLA...JEFFERSON...TAYLOR AND
DIXIE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. AN INLAND TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND. A
TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT). A FLOOD WATCH
IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA...85 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA
CITY...162 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE AND 160 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FROM DOTHAN. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS
THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST AROUND 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT).
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. THE
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 930 MB...OR 27.46 INCHES.

...WIND IMPACTS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE TO AT OR NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST FROM
PENSACOLA EAST TO WAKULLA COUNTY. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY
REACH THE COAST AFTER MIDDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND
EVENTUALLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY EXTEND INLAND DURING
THE AFTERNOON OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE (WALTON...HOLMES...
WASHINGTON AND BAY COUNTIES) AND OVER WESTERN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
(COFFEE AND GENEVA COUNTIES). HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS WILL LIKELY
EXTEND TO THE REST OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA (DALE...HOUSTON AND HENRY
COUNTIES) AND THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE (JACKSON...CALHOUN AND
GULF). THE FOLLOWING ARE SOME LOCAL WIND REPORTS AT 11 AM EDT:

TALLAHASSEE...40 MPH GUSTS OF 53 MPH.
EGLIN AFB...44 MPH GUSTS OF 53 MPH
BAINBRIDGE...33 MPH GUSTS OF 44 MPH
PANAMA CITY...33 MPH GUSTS OF 51 MPH.
CRESTVIEW...28 MPH GUSTS OF 46 MPH
PERRY...24 MPH GUSTS TO 36 MPH
C TOWER///60 MPH GUSTS OF 69 MPH
BUOY 42309 (PANAMA CITY BUOY)...42 KNOTS GUSTS OF 60.
BUOY 42036 (APALACHICOLA BUOY)...47 KNOTS GUSTS OF 64.

...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION...
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE
MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA WHERE TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE ONLY RIVERS CURRENTLY AT FLOOD STAGE
ARE BLOUNTSTOWN ON THE APALACHICOLA RIVER AND THE ST MARKS RIVER AT
NEWPORT. SOILS ARE VERY WET.  SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS IN THE AREA
WILL FLOOD RAPIDLY IF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN LOCALIZED AREAS
WITHIN TWO HOURS.

SOME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR DENNIS THOUGH 10 AM EDT...

TALLAHASSEE  3.19 INCHES
APALACHICOLA 3.09 INCHES
BAINBRIDGE   2.70 INCHES
ST MARKS     2.70 INCHES
STEINHATCHEE 2.70 INCHES
DOTHAN       1.91 INCHES
DOWLING PARK 1.30 INCHES
BRISTOL      1.30 INCHES
NEWTON       1.15 INCHES
TIFTON       1.05 INCHES

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST... STORM SURGES WILL BE SIGNIFICANT. THE
BEACHES OF SOUTH WALTON COUNTY COULD SEE 8 TO 10 FOOT SURGES.  BAY
COUNTY IS LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE 5 TO 8 FOOT SURGE... AND THE BARRIER
ISLANDS A CAPES ALONG GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES SHOULD SEE 4 TO 6
FOOT SURGES. ALL OF THESE EXPOSED AREAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE SEVERE
BEACH EROSION AS LARGE BATTERING WAVES... SIMILAR TO LAST YEARS
HURRICANE IVAN...STRIKE THE COAST. THE LATEST SEA HEIGHTS MEASURED
AT THE OFFSHORE BUOYS WERE 33 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF PANAMA
CITY...AND 22 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA.

STORM TIDES HAVE RISEN TO 8 FEET THIS MORNING IN WAKULLA COUNTY. AN
APPROACHING RAIN BAND MAY PUSH ANOTHER FOOT INTO THE APALACHEE BAY
AREA FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE BAY TO THE AUCILLA RIVER. THESE AREAS OF
WAKULLA AND FRANKLIN COUNTY CAN EXPECT THESE WATER LEVELS TO REMAIN
NEAR OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THEIR CURRENT LEVELS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. NORMAL HIGH TIDE WILL HELP TO KEEP THESE LEVELS AT NEAR
THE SAME LEVEL. TO THE EAST... TOTAL STORM TIDES SHOULD APPROACH 4
TO 5 FEET ALONG THE EASTERN TAYLOR COUNTY COAST AND DOWN DOWN THE
BIG BEND TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER MOUTH.

NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS...

SHELL POINT...
TODAY...HIGH 4:43 PM...LOW 11:00 AM AND 11:38 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 6:12 AM AND 5:27 PM...LOW 11:45 AM.

APALACHICOLA...
TODAY...LOW 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 8:38 AM AND 7:01 AM...LOW 1:35 AM AND 2:02 PM.

PORT SAINT JOE...
TODAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 12:56 PM...LOW 10:41 PM.

PANAMA CITY...
TODAY...HIGH 12:07 PM...LOW 10:31 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 12:23 PM...LOW 10:21 PM.

DESTIN...
TODAY...HIGH 12:37 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 12:53 PM...LOW 1:12 AM.

...RIP CURRENTS...
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING
SURF AND WINDS.

...TORNADO THREAT...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
COASTAL RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND SHOULD EXPECT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS WITHIN 2 TO 8 HOURS...AND ALL PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS
ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL SECTIONS OF WALTON...BAY...GULF AND
FRANKLIN COUNTIES. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS FOR RESIDENTS IN MOBILE
HOMES AND LOW LYING AREAS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PANHANDLE
COUNTIES. RESIDENTS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM
SURGE FLOODING OR IN INLAND RAINFALL FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD HEED
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 230 PM EDT.

BLOCK

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