[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 101451
SPFAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT WED JUL 13 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

33.9N  88.8W      45  1  X  X 46   MOBILE AL         73  X  X  X 73
35.8N  89.3W      17 14  1  X 32   GULFPORT MS       11  X  X  1 12
37.5N  89.0W       1 17  5  2 25   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  1  1  2
APALACHICOLA FL    2  X  X  1  3   GULF 29N 85W      11  X  X  X 11
PANAMA CITY FL    28  X  X  X 28   GULF 29N 87W      99  X  X  X 99
PENSACOLA FL      94  X  X  X 94

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM MON TO  7PM MON
C FROM  7PM MON TO  7AM TUE
D FROM  7AM TUE TO  7AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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