[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 101420
HLSTAE

GMZ750-755-770-775-ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-
142>148-155>161-101845-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1019 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005

...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER
WESTWARD...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF THE STEINHATCHEE
RIVER...
...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND...
...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT)...
...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA.

...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF
WALTON...BAY...GULF...FRANKLIN...WAKULLA...JEFFERSON AND TAYLOR.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR DIXIE COUNTY. AN INLAND
HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT). A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF
DOTHAN ALABAMA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15
MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK
THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
COAST LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO
LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230
MILES. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 931 MB...OR 27.49 INCHES.

...WIND IMPACTS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST FROM DESTIN TO
SHELL POINT LATER THIS MORNING. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
MAY REACH THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND
EVENTUALLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY EXTEND INLAND DURING
THE AFTERNOON OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE (WALTON...HOLMES...
WASHINGTON AND BAY COUNTIES) AND OVER WESTERN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
(COFFEE AND GENEVA COUNTIES). HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS WILL LIKELY
EXTEND TO THE REST OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA (DALE...HOUSTON AND HENRY
COUNTIES) AND THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE (JACKSON...CALHOUN AND
GULF). THE FOLLOWING ARE SOME LOCAL WIND REPORTS AT 10 AM EDT:

TALLAHASSEE...36 MPH GUSTS OF 45.
PANAMA CITY...32 MPH GUSTS OF 49 MPH.
BUOY 42309 (PANAMA CITY BUOY)...54 KNOTS GUSTS OF 67.
BUOY 42036 (APALACHICOLA BUOY)...41 KNOTS GUSTS OF 54.

...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION...
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE
MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA WHERE TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE ONLY RIVER CURRENTLY AT FLOOD STAGE
ARE BLOUNTSTOWN ON THE APALACHICOLA RIVER.  SOILS ARE VERY WET.
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS IN THE AREA WILL FLOOD RAPIDLY IF 3 TO 5
INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN TWO HOURS.

SOME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR DENNIS THOUGH 10 AM EDT...

TALLAHASSEE  3.19 INCHES
APALACHICOLA 3.09 INCHES
BAINBRIDGE   2.70 INCHES
ST MARKS     2.70 INCHES
STEINHATCHEE 2.70 INCHES
DOTHAN       1.91 INCHES
DOWLING PARK 1.30 INCHES
BRISTOL      1.30 INCHES
NEWTON       1.15 INCHES
TIFTON       1.05 INCHES

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST... STORM SURGES WILL BE SIGNIFICANT. THE
BEACHES OF SOUTH WALTON COUNTY COULD SEE 8 TO 10 FOOT SURGES.  BAY
COUNTY IS LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE 5 TO 8 FOOT SURGE... AND THE BARRIER
ISLANDS A CAPES ALONG GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES SHOULD SEE 4 TO 6
FOOT SURGES. ALL OF THESE EXPOSED AREAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE SEVERE
BEACH EROSION AS LARGE BATTERING WAVES... SIMILAR TO LAST YEARS
HURRICANE IVAN...STRIKE THE COAST. THE LATEST SEA HEIGHTS MEASURED
AT THE OFFSHORE BUOYS WERE 33 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF PANAMA
CITY...AND 22 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA.

STORM TIDES HAVE RISEN TO 8 FEET THIS MORNING IN WAKULLA COUNTY. AN
APPROACHING RAIN BAND MAY PUSH ANOTHER FOOT INTO THE APALACHEE BAY
AREA FROM THE OCHLOCKNEE BAY TO THE AUCILLA RIVER. THESE AREAS OF
WAKULLA AND FRANKLIN COUNTY CAN EXPECT THESE WATER LEVELS TO REMAIN
NEAR OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THEIR CURRENT LEVELS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. NORMAL HIGH TIDE WILL HELP TO KEEP THESE LEVELS AT NEAR
THE SAME LEVEL. TO THE EAST... TOTAL STORM TIDES SHOULD APPROACH 4
TO 5 FEET ALONG THE EASTERN TAYLOR COUNTY COAST AND DOWN DOWN THE
BIG BEND TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER MOUTH.

NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS...

SHELL POINT...
TODAY...HIGH 4:43 PM...LOW 11:00 AM AND 11:38 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 6:12 AM AND 5:27 PM...LOW 11:45 AM.

APALACHICOLA...
TODAY...LOW 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 8:38 AM AND 7:01 AM...LOW 1:35 AM AND 2:02 PM.

PORT SAINT JOE...
TODAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 12:56 PM...LOW 10:41 PM.

PANAMA CITY...
TODAY...HIGH 12:07 PM...LOW 10:31 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 12:23 PM...LOW 10:21 PM.

DESTIN...
TODAY...HIGH 12:37 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 12:53 PM...LOW 1:12 AM.

...RIP CURRENTS...
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING
SURF AND WINDS.

...TORNADO THREAT...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
COASTAL RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND SHOULD EXPECT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS WITHIN 4 TO 10 HOURS...AND ALL PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS
ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL SECTIONS OF WALTON...BAY...GULF AND
FRANKLIN COUNTIES. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS FOR RESIDENTS IN MOBILE
HOMES AND LOW LYING AREAS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PANHANDLE
COUNTIES. RESIDENTS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM
SURGE FLOODING OR IN INLAND RAINFALL FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD HEED
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 1200 PM EDT.

BLOCK/GOREE



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