[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Jul 9 14:12:49 CDT 2005


WTUS82 KTBW 091912
HLSTBW
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-870-
873-876-092130-

HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
310 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005

...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH NORTH
TO TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER...
...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 628 IN NOW IN EFFECT FOR CHARLOTTE...
CITRUS...DE SOTO...HARDEE...HERNANDO...HIGHLANDS...HILLSBOROUGH...
LEE...LEVY...MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...POLK...SARASOTA AND SUMTER
COUNTIES UNTIL 11 PM. THIS REPLACES TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 627...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A NEW TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AREA UNTIL 11 PM EDT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
CITRUS...CHARLOTTE...DE SOTO...HERNANDO...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...
LEVY...MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...SARASOTA...HARDEE...
HIGHLANDS...POLK...SUMTER...

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH NORTH TO
TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER.

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 628 IN NOW IN EFFECT FOR CHARLOTTE...CITRUS...DE
SOTO...HARDEE...HERNANDO...HIGHLANDS...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...LEVY...
MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...POLK...SARASOTA AND SUMTER COUNTIES
UNTIL 11 PM. THIS REPLACES TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 627.

...STORM LOCATION...
AT 3 PM EDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
FORT MYERS. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 205 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA
FLORIDA.

DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
DENNIS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE AGAIN BY SUNDAY.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THE REGION WILL REMAIN IN THE PRIMARY DEVELOPMENT AREA FOR TORNADOES
INTO THIS EVENING. A SEVERALS TORNADO OCCURRED EARLIER TODAY AND
FURTHER TOUCHDOWNS ARE POSSIBLE. REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO
WARNINGS

...WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...
WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE OVER THE OUTER WATERS.
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...SARASOTA AND MANATEE
COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND OVER THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS OF THE
TAMPA BAY AREA THIS EVENING.

SUSTAINED WINDS OVER THE NATURE COAST WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW
TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY...HOWEVER...GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE
CAN BE EXPECTED WITH HEAVIER RAINBANDS.

SEVERAL STRONG RAINBANDS ARE MOVING NORTH ACROSS THE AREA WITH WIND
GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS...INCLUDING
INLAND LOCATIONS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
WINDS WILL BECOME MORE ONSHORE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH WATER
LEVELS EXPECTED TO RISE TODAY AND TONIGHT. GENERAL WATER LEVELS ARE
EXPECT TO RISE TO 3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. THE TIMING OF THE PEAK
WATER LEVELS WILL BE IN THE EVENING TO NEAR MIDNIGHT FOR FORT
MYERS...NEAR MIDNIGHT FOR TAMPA BAY...AND NEAR 3 AM FOR CEDAR
KEY. THE HIGHEST TIDE VALUES WILL BE ALONG SOUTH FACING EXPOSURES.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
THE CURRENT FORECAST MOVEMENT OF DENNIS WILL BRING OCCASIONAL BANDS
OF TORRENTIAL RAIN...BECOMING MOST FREQUENT THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS THE CENTER PASSES BY. ADDITIONAL DOWNPOURS WILL OCCUR
SUNDAY AS A FINAL BROAD FEEDER BAND PASSES THROUGH.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 8 TO 12 INCHES FROM LEE
COUNTY TO SARASOTA COUNTY...AND 4 TO 8 INCHES ELSEWHERE. SEVERAL
RIVERS IN CENTRAL FLORIDA REMAIN NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...AND ANY
ADDITIONAL RAINS WILL PERPETUATE FLOODING IN THESE AREAS.

HEAVY RAINFALL HAS FLOODED SOME ROADWAYS IN THE AREA...REMAIN ALERT
FOR FLOOD ADVISORIES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

SOME RAINFALL TOTALS FOR DENNIS THOUGH 2 PM EDT...
FORT MYERS PAGE FIELD...4.07 INCHES
PUNTA GORDA...3.82 INCHES
FORT MYERS SOUTHWEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...3.39 INCHES
BUCKINGHAM...3.60 INCHES
NOCATEE...3.34
NORTH PORT...3.31
FORT OGDEN...3.26
SARASOTA...2.81

...MARINE IMPACTS...
SEAS ARE 12 TO 14 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 14 TO 18 FEET WELL OFFSHORE.
LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED ALONG AREA BEACHES
WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 6 TO 8 FEET PRODUCING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
AND MODERATE BEACH EROSION. MARINERS AND SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

SUNDAY WILL SEE IMPROVING WEATHER CONDITIONS...HOWEVER...RESIDUAL
WAVES OF 4 TO 6 FEET WILL CAUSE STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH
EROSION. IF VISITING THE BEACH HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS
AND THE BEACH PATROL.

...NEXT STATEMENT...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN RUSKIN WILL BE ISSUED BETWEEN 500 AND 530 PM OR EARLIER SHOULD
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

SANDRIK

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