[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 090847
SPFAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT TUE JUL 12 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

27.5N  85.7W      50  X  X  X 50   CEDAR KEY FL      11  7  X  X 18
29.8N  87.1W       4 30  X  X 34   ST MARKS FL        4 20  X  X 24
32.5N  88.5W       X  4 21  X 25   APALACHICOLA FL   14 19  X  X 33
MUHA 230N 824W    99  X  X  X 99   PANAMA CITY FL     8 26  X  X 34
MARATHON FL       15  X  X  X 15   PENSACOLA FL       1 30  1  X 32
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  1  X  1  2   MOBILE AL          X 24  4  X 28
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  2  1  1  4   GULFPORT MS        X 19  5  X 24
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  1  3  4   BURAS LA           X 15  2  X 17
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  9  5  X 14
KEY WEST FL       75  X  X  X 75   NEW IBERIA LA      X  1  3  1  5
MARCO ISLAND FL   19  X  X  X 19   GULF 29N 85W      31  8  X  X 39
FT MYERS FL       17  X  X  X 17   GULF 29N 87W      17 20  X  X 37
VENICE FL         28  X  X  1 29   GULF 28N 89W       3 12  X  X 15
TAMPA FL          16  1  X  X 17   GULF 28N 91W       X  1  1  X  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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