[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 090257
HLSTAE

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-090600-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1038 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005

...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER
WESTWARD...
...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF THE STEINHATCHEE
RIVER...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND.

...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF
WALTON...BAY...GULF...FRANKLIN...WAKULLA...JEFFERSON AND TAYLOR.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR DIXIE COUNTY.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.1 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES
SOUTH OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO RE-INTENSIFY INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE UPON
REACHING THE FLORIDA STRAITS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB OR 28.41 INCHES.

...WIND IMPACTS...
GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST FROM DOG ISLAND AND SAINT GEORGE ISLAND
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD REACH THE
COAST SUNDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND EVENTUALLY HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS WILL PUSH INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATER SUNDAY.
IF THE TRACK OF DENNIS TURNS SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST...THE FLORIDA BIG
BEND COULD RECEIVE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.

...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION...
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE
MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA. EXPECT TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. FURTHER EAST...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST
GEORGIA CAN EXPECT 3 TO 5 INCHES.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
STORM SURGE SHOULD BEGIN ALONG THE COAST EARLY SUNDAY. IF THE CENTER
OF THE HURRICANE MOVES TOWARD AND INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...STORM TIDES WILL BE EXTREME OVER
THE PANHANDLE COAST. SURGES FROM SAINT GEORGE ISLAND EASTWARD ACROSS
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COAST WOULD LIKELY BE IN THE 6 TO 8 FOOT RANGE.
EXPOSED BARRIER ISLAND AND PENINSULAS INCLUDING CAPE SAN BLAS WILL
ALSO EXPERIENCE LARGE DAMAGING WAVE ACTION AND EROSION.

NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS...

APALACHICOLA...
SATURDAY...LOW 12:52 AM AND 12:22 PM...HIGH 8:07 AM AND 5:18 PM
SUNDAY...LOW 1:14 AM AND 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM

PANAMA CITY...
SATURDAY...HIGH 11:46 AM...LOW 10:29 PM
SUNDAY...HIGH 12:07 AM...LOW 10:31 PM

...RIP CURRENTS...
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY DUE TO
INCREASING SURF AND WINDS.

...TORNADO THREAT...
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING SATURDAY ESPECIALLY OVER THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND. AS DENNIS MOVES NORTHWEST TOWARD THE AREA...
TORNADO WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED. THE GREATEST THREAT IS
NORMALLY IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE HURRICANE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND COAST SHOULD BEGIN
PREPARATIONS FOR POSSIBLE HURRICANE CONDITIONS DEVELOPING WITHIN 36
HOURS. RESIDENTS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM
SURGE FLOODING SHOULD HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND BE
PREPARED TO EVACUATE IF REQUESTED.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON HURRICANE DENNIS WILL BE ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 2 AM EDT.

$$

8-JAMSKI


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