[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 071431
SPFAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU JUL 07 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

21.3N  79.8W      48  X  X  X 48   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  1  8  9
22.8N  81.8W       6 27  X  X 33   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  4  4
24.7N  83.5W       X 12 15  1 28   KEY WEST FL        X 23  5  1 29
MTCA 183N 738W    54  X  X  X 54   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  6 15  1 22
MKJP 179N 768W    54  X  X  X 54   FT MYERS FL        X  2 17  2 21
MKJS 185N 779W    47  X  X  X 47   VENICE FL          X  1 16  4 21
MWCG 193N 814W     6  2  X  X  8   TAMPA FL           X  X 11  7 18
MUGM 200N 751W    19  X  X  X 19   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  4 12 16
MUCM 214N 779W    49  X  X  X 49   ST MARKS FL        X  X  1 15 16
MUCF 221N 805W    35  5  X  X 40   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  1 17 18
MUSN 216N 826W     7 18  1  X 26   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  1 17 18
MUHA 230N 824W     2 28  1  X 31   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X 16 16
MUAN 219N 850W     X  7  6  2 15   MOBILE AL          X  X  X 14 14
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  1  1  2   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X 13 13
MYAK 241N 776W     2  5  1  1  9   BURAS LA           X  X  X 12 12
MYNN 251N 775W     X  2  1  1  4   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  9  9
MYGF 266N 787W     X  1  3  2  6   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  4  4
MARATHON FL        X 21  5  X 26   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  3 16 19
MIAMI FL           X  8  8  1 17   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  1 17 18
W PALM BEACH FL    X  2  9  2 13   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X 13 13
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  8  3 11   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  7  7
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  5  6 11   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  2  2
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  2  8 10

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
C FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
D FROM  8AM SAT TO  8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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