[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 070839
SPFAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU JUL 07 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  74.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

20.0N  79.0W      47  X  X  X 47   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  6  6
21.6N  81.5W       3 31  X  X 34   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  5  5
23.5N  83.5W       X 11 16  1 28   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2
MTCA 183N 738W    38  X  X  X 38   KEY WEST FL        X  9 14  1 24
MKJP 179N 768W    65  X  X  X 65   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  1 13  4 18
MKJS 185N 779W    55  X  X  X 55   FT MYERS FL        X  X 11  5 16
MWCG 193N 814W    11 10  X  1 22   VENICE FL          X  X  9  8 17
MUGM 200N 751W    15  X  X  X 15   TAMPA FL           X  X  4 10 14
MUCM 214N 779W    28  3  X  X 31   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  1 11 12
MUCF 221N 805W     5 29  X  X 34   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X 12 12
MUSN 216N 826W     X 28  2  X 30   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X 15 15
MUHA 230N 824W     X 24  6  X 30   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X 15 15
MUAN 219N 850W     X  6 12  1 19   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X 14 14
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  3  3  6   MOBILE AL          X  X  X 12 12
MYAK 241N 776W     X  3  1  X  4   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X 12 12
MYNN 251N 775W     X  1  X  1  2   BURAS LA           X  X  X 12 12
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  1  2  3   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  9  9
MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  2  2   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  5  5
MARATHON FL        X  8 12  1 21   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  1 15 16
MIAMI FL           X  1  9  2 12   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X 17 17
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  5  4  9   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X 14 14
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  2  5  7   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  8  8
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  1  6  7   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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