[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 062047
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED JUL 06 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  72.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SAT JUL  9 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

18.4N  76.7W      46  X  1  X 47   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  3  6  9
20.0N  79.1W       3 31  X  X 34   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  1  7  8
21.4N  81.4W       X 12 15  1 28   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  6  6
MDCB 176N 714W    11  X  X  X 11   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  5  5
MTPP 186N 724W    10  X  X  X 10   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  3  3
MTCA 183N 738W    53  X  X  X 53   KEY WEST FL        X  X 15  6 21
MKJP 179N 768W    44  X  X  1 45   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  6 10 16
MKJS 185N 779W    32  6  X  X 38   FT MYERS FL        X  X  3 11 14
MWCG 193N 814W     X 14  7  1 22   VENICE FL          X  X  1 13 14
MUGM 200N 751W    25  2  X  X 27   TAMPA FL           X  X  X 11 11
MUCM 214N 779W     1 27  X  X 28   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  8  8
MUCF 221N 805W     X 15 13  1 29   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  5  5
MUSN 216N 826W     X  3 20  2 25   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  7  7
MUHA 230N 824W     X  1 21  3 25   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  6  6
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  8 10 18   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  4  4
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  1  8  9   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  2  2
MYEG 235N 758W     X  2  1  1  4   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  2  2
MYAK 241N 776W     X  2  7  1 10   BURAS LA           X  X  X  3  3
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  4  2  6   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  9  9
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  2  3  5   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  7  7
MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  5  5
MARATHON FL        X  X 14  5 19   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  2  2
MIAMI FL           X  X  7  6 13

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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