[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jul 6 09:44:05 CDT 2005


WTNT43 KNHC 061443
TCDAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED JUL 06 2005

SURFACE DATA INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NO MORE
THAN 30 KT...SO THE SYSTEM IS DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION.  ALL
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES ARE DISCONTINUED.  FURTHER
WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AS THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER LAND.  THE SYSTEM
SHOULD LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT APPROACHES THE
NORTHEASTERN U.S. IN 48 HOURS OR SO.

CINDY CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD...045/12...AND A GENERALLY
NORTHEASTWARD MOTION...FOLLOWING THE FLOW ON THE EAST SIDE OF A
BROAD MID-LEVEL TROUGH...IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
AS CINDY HEADS IN THE GENERAL DIRECTION OF THE APPALACHIANS...THE
MAIN THREAT FROM THIS SYSTEM IS NOW HEAVY RAIN AND INLAND FLOODING.
THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
ON CINDY.  FUTURE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT33 KWNH...STARTING AT 2100 UTC
TODAY.

FORECASTER PASCH


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      06/1500Z 31.4N  88.4W    30 KT
 12HR VT     07/0000Z 32.6N  87.3W    25 KT...INLAND
 24HR VT     07/1200Z 34.2N  85.1W    25 KT...INLAND
 36HR VT     08/0000Z 36.0N  81.8W    20 KT...INLAND
 48HR VT     08/1200Z 37.8N  78.5W    20 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 72HR VT     09/1200Z 41.0N  73.0W    20 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 96HR VT     10/1200Z...ABSORBED


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