[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 060835
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM CINDY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT WED JUL 06 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT SAT JUL  9 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

33.5N  86.0W      45  X  X  X 45   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  4  4
35.0N  83.5W       8 14  1  X 23   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  4  4
37.0N  80.0W       X  2 12  2 16   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  5  5
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  2  1  3   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  3  3
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  3  3  1  7   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  2  2
SAVANNAH GA        X  7  5  1 13   CEDAR KEY FL       X  1  1  X  2
CHARLESTON SC      X  4  7  2 13   ST MARKS FL        1  4  1  1  7
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  2  8  2 12   APALACHICOLA FL    X  3  X  1  4
WILMINGTON NC      X  1  7  3 11   PANAMA CITY FL     2  3  X  1  6
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  5  5 10   PENSACOLA FL      35  X  X  X 35
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  3  6  9   MOBILE AL         68  X  X  X 68
NORFOLK VA         X  X  4  7 11   GULFPORT MS       99  X  X  X 99
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1  9 10   BURAS LA          99  X  X  X 99
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1  8  9   NEW ORLEANS LA    99  X  X  X 99
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  8  8   NEW IBERIA LA      6  X  X  X  6
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 91W       4  X  X  X  4
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  5  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM THU TO  1PM THU
C FROM  1PM THU TO  1AM FRI
D FROM  1AM FRI TO  1AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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