[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT43 KNHC 060834
TCDAT3
TROPICAL STORM CINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED JUL 06 2005

RADAR SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT CINDY HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE
FARTHER INLAND OVER LOUISIANA. THE CLOUD PATTERN IS STILL WELL
ORGANIZED WITH VERY DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.
HOWEVER...THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 50 KNOTS AND
CINDY SHOULD CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER LAND AND BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

INITIAL MOTION IS 035/12. CINDY IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW AHEAD OF A MID-LEVEL TROUGH. SO A CONTINUED NORTHEAST TRACK
WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED...UNTIL IT
BECOMES ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM.

CINDY HAS A LARGE CIRCULATION AND THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
STILL AFFECTING THE COAST. THEREFORE...THE COASTAL WARNINGS ARE
KEPT AT THIS TIME BUT MOST LIKELY WILL BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY
AS THE STORM MOVES FARTHER INLAND.

FORECASTER AVILA

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      06/0900Z 30.1N  89.7W    50 KT
 12HR VT     06/1800Z 31.5N  88.5W    30 KT...INLAND
 24HR VT     07/0600Z 33.5N  86.0W    25 KT...INLAND
 36HR VT     07/1800Z 35.0N  83.5W    25 KT...INLAND
 48HR VT     08/0600Z 37.0N  80.0W    20 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 72HR VT     09/0600Z 40.0N  74.5W    20 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 96HR VT     10/0600Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT


$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net