[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 052031
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM CINDY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT TUE JUL 05 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  90.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT FRI JUL  8 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.5N  88.5W      32  X  X  X 32   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2
33.2N  86.7W       8 12  1  X 21   VENICE FL          X  X  1  1  2
34.7N  84.1W       X  3 11  3 17   TAMPA FL           X  X  1  2  3
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2   CEDAR KEY FL       X  1  2  2  5
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  1  2  3   ST MARKS FL        X  4  5  1 10
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  1  4  5   APALACHICOLA FL    1  5  3  1 10
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  4  4  8   PANAMA CITY FL     2  8  2  X 12
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  4  6 10   PENSACOLA FL      18  3  X  X 21
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  2  8 10   MOBILE AL         32  X  X  X 32
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  1  9 10   GULFPORT MS       44  X  X  X 44
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  9  9   BURAS LA          63  X  X  X 63
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  8  8   NEW ORLEANS LA    54  X  X  X 54
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  7  7   NEW IBERIA LA      7  1  X  X  8
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  8  8   GULF 29N 85W       X  4  3  X  7
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  6  6   GULF 29N 87W      10  3  X  1 14
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 89W      48  X  X  X 48
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 91W      99  X  X  X 99

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM WED TO  1AM THU
C FROM  1AM THU TO  1PM THU
D FROM  1PM THU TO  1PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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