[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Jul 5 12:54:38 CDT 2005


WTNT33 KNHC 051753
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CINDY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 PM CDT TUE JUL 05 2005

...CINDY A LITTLE STRONGER...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING ALONG THE
NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST....

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 90.4 WEST OR ABOUT
125 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

CINDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL BE NEARING THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF
COAST TONIGHT OR EARLY ON WEDNESDAY.

A SHIP JUST NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER REPORTED WINDS NEAR 70 MPH...BUT
QUALITY CONTROL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THESE WINDS ARE LIKELY A
LITTLE TOO HIGH.  NEVERTHELESS...CINDY APPEARS TO HAVE STRENGTHENED
A LITTLE MORE AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE IS
NEARING CINDY AND SHOULD GIVE MORE DEFINITIVE INTENSITY
INFORMATION.  SOME ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE
BEFORE LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE
COAST.

TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST AND PARTS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S....WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...27.6 N... 90.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER PASCH

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