[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 051439
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE JUL 05 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT FRI JUL  8 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

15.9N  71.5W      47  1  X  X 48   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  4  2  6
17.4N  74.1W       2 32  X  X 34   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  1  4  5
18.9N  76.6W       X  9 17  1 27   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  4  7 11
MDSD 185N 697W     6  5  1  X 12   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  2 11 13
MDCB 176N 714W    26  9  X  X 35   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X 10 10
MTPP 186N 724W     3 25  X  1 29   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  7  7
MTCA 183N 738W     1 31  1  X 33   MARATHON FL        X  X  X 14 14
MKJP 179N 768W     X 11 13  1 25   MIAMI FL           X  X  X 11 11
MKJS 185N 779W     X  3 18  2 23   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  8  8
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  2 13 15   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  6  6
MUGM 200N 751W     X 11 14  1 26   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  4  4
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X 15  7 22   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  2 17 19   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X 14 14
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X 15 15   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X 11 11
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X 16 16   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  9  9
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  9  9   VENICE FL          X  X  X  7  7
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  2  2   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  5  5
MDPP 198N 707W     X  6  2  X  8   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W     X  1  1  1  3   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
C FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
D FROM  8AM THU TO  8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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