[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Jul 5 03:51:09 CDT 2005


WTNT73 KNHC 050850
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM CINDY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT TUE JUL 05 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  90.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT FRI JUL  8 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

29.3N  90.5W      34  1  X  X 35   APALACHICOLA FL    X  1  5  5 11
31.0N  90.0W      15  9  1  1 26   PANAMA CITY FL     X  2  7  4 13
32.5N  88.5W       1 11  7  2 21   PENSACOLA FL       2  8  6  2 18
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2   MOBILE AL          6 11  3  1 21
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2   GULFPORT MS       15  7  2  X 24
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  4  4   BURAS LA          27  2  X  X 29
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  6  6   NEW ORLEANS LA    27  2  X  X 29
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  6  6   NEW IBERIA LA     24  1  X  1 26
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  5  5   PORT ARTHUR TX     5  3  X  1  9
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  3  3   GALVESTON TX       1  1  X  1  3
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 85W       X  1  4  5 10
FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 87W       4  6  4  1 15
VENICE FL          X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 89W      30  X  X  X 30
TAMPA FL           X  X  X  4  4   GULF 28N 91W      54  X  X  X 54
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  1  5  6   GULF 28N 93W      18  X  X  1 19
ST MARKS FL        X  X  3  7 10

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM WED TO  1PM WED
C FROM  1PM WED TO  1AM THU
D FROM  1AM THU TO  1AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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