[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 050228
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON JUL 04 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT THU JUL  7 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

14.7N  68.3W      51  1  X  X 52   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  9  9
16.3N  71.4W       X 35  X  X 35   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  2  2
17.8N  74.4W       X  3 23  1 27   TJSJ 184N 661W     1  1  X  X  2
SKPG 125N 717W     X  2  X  X  2   MDPP 198N 707W     X  5  9  1 15
TNCC 122N 690W     5  1  X  X  6   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  4  3  7
SVMG 110N 640W     2  X  X  X  2   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  2  7  9
TGPY 120N 618W    99  X  X  X 99   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  7  7
TVSV 131N 612W    22  X  X  X 22   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X 12 12
80400 157N 636W    3  X  X  X  3   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X 13 13
TJPS 180N 666W     3  2  1  X  6   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  8  8
MDSD 185N 697W     X 19  2  1 22   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  4  4
MDCB 176N 714W     X 28  4  X 32   SAN JUAN PR        1  1  X  X  2
MTPP 186N 724W     X 11 16  X 27   PONCE PR           3  2  1  X  6
MTCA 183N 738W     X  4 23  1 28   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  9  9
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X 14  6 20   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  6  6
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  6 13 19   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  3  3
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X 10 10   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X 16  7 23   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  8  8
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1 19 20   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  5  5
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X 16 16   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  3  3
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  9  9   VENICE FL          X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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