[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Aug 31 15:26:33 CDT 2005
WTNT73 KNHC 312026
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM LEE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED AUG 31 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST SAT SEP 3 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
34.0N 49.0W 28 1 X 1 30 BURGEO NFLD X X X 2 2
35.0N 49.5W 18 3 1 1 23 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 2 2
36.0N 50.0W 10 6 2 1 19 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 2 2
SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
C FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
D FROM 2PM FRI TO 2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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