[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT32 KNHC 291856
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATRINA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  27B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005

...KATRINA CONTINUES WEAKENING OVER LAND BUT STILL DANGEROUS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST
FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...AND FROM WEST OF
MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 2 PM CDT...1900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HATTIESBURG MISSISSIPPI.

KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT.  ON THIS TRACK
THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE MOVING OVER SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TODAY AND
INTO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 95 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  KATRINA IS NOW A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH
RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR
GROUND LEVEL.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS
THE CENTER CONTINUES MOVING OVER LAND.  HOWEVER...HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD AS FAR AS 150 MILES INLAND ALONG THE
PATH OF KATRINA.  SEE INLAND HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS
FROM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO COAST WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE LATER TODAY.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF KATRINA ACROSS THE GULF
COAST AND THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR
ESTIMATES SHOW THAT RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES HAVE OCCURRED
OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA...AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY.

REPEATING THE 2 PM CDT POSITION...31.4 N... 89.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...95 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 955 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER PASCH

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