[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 291438
SPFAT2
HURRICANE KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT THU SEP  1 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

35.4N  88.3W      51  1  X  X 52   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  6  6
39.0N  86.0W       1 24  1  X 26   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  5  5
42.0N  82.5W       X  1 14  2 17   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  4  4
NORFOLK VA         X  X  1  2  3   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  3  3
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1  4  5   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  2  2
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1  5  6   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  3  3
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  7  7   MOBILE AL         60  X  X  X 60
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  6  6   GULFPORT MS       99  X  X  X 99
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  6  6   BURAS LA          99  X  X  X 99
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  5  5   NEW ORLEANS LA    99  X  X  X 99
HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  5  5   NEW IBERIA LA      4  X  X  X  4
BOSTON MA          X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 89W      11  X  X  X 11

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM TUE TO  7PM TUE
C FROM  7PM TUE TO  7AM WED
D FROM  7AM WED TO  7AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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