[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Aug 29 09:23:16 CDT 2005


WTNT43 KNHC 291422
TCDAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN DISCUSSION NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2005

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES AND A FEW SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS DEGENERATED INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE. GLOBAL MODELS AND THE GFDL WERE CORRECT IN SUGGESTING
THAT THIS CYCLONE WAS NOT GOING TO DEVELOP FURTHER. THIS SYSTEM IS
STILL PRODUCING DISORGANIZED PATCHES OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE
STRONGEST THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS PROBABLY ASSOCIATED WITH A
VIGOROUS MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 19.0N AND 51.5W.
THEREFORE...THE REMNANTS OF THE DEPRESSION WILL BE MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION.

FORECASTER AVILA

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      29/1500Z 18.5N  50.5W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 12HR VT     30/0000Z 20.0N  52.0W    20 KT...DISSIPATING

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