[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 290830
SPFAT2
HURRICANE KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT THU SEP  1 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

33.6N  89.0W      38  1  X  X 39   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  4  4
36.7N  87.2W       3 20  1  1 25   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  3  3
39.8N  84.1W       X  1 14  2 17   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  2  2
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  3  3   PANAMA CITY FL     1  1  X  X  2
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  4  4   PENSACOLA FL      15  1  1  X 17
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  5  5   MOBILE AL         49  X  X  X 49
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  6  6   GULFPORT MS       72  X  X  X 72
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  4  4   BURAS LA          99  X  X  X 99
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  4  4   NEW ORLEANS LA    74  X  X  X 74
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  3  3   NEW IBERIA LA      3  X  X  X  3
HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  3  3   GULF 29N 87W       2  1  X  X  3
BOSTON MA          X  X  X  4  4   GULF 28N 89W      99  X  X  X 99

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM TUE TO  1PM TUE
C FROM  1PM TUE TO  1AM WED
D FROM  1AM WED TO  1AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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