[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 290250
SPFAT2
HURRICANE KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT WED AUG 31 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.8N  89.5W      43  2  X  X 45   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
34.8N  88.1W       3 30  1  X 34   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2
37.7N  85.9W       X  3 20  1 24   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  2  2
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  2  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  2  2   PANAMA CITY FL     1  1  X  X  2
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2   PENSACOLA FL      18  3  1  X 22
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  2  2   MOBILE AL         40  X  X  X 40
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  2  2   GULFPORT MS       54  X  X  X 54
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  4  4   BURAS LA          77  X  X  X 77
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  5  5   NEW ORLEANS LA    59  X  X  X 59
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  5  5   NEW IBERIA LA     28  1  X  X 29
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  5  5   GULF 29N 87W       8  2  X  X 10
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 89W      99  X  X  X 99
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 91W      47  X  X  X 47

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM MON TO  7AM TUE
C FROM  7AM TUE TO  7PM TUE
D FROM  7PM TUE TO  7PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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