[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 281443
SPFAT2
HURRICANE KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  88.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT WED AUG 31 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

29.1N  89.6W      40  X  X  1 41   PENSACOLA FL       7 13  3  X 23
31.4N  89.5W      12 19  X  1 32   MOBILE AL         15 13  1  X 29
34.5N  88.5W       X  5 18  1 24   GULFPORT MS       25  7  X  1 33
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  2  2   BURAS LA          38  X  X  X 38
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  3  3   NEW ORLEANS LA    31  3  1  X 35
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  3  3   NEW IBERIA LA     16  7  X  X 23
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  2  2   PORT ARTHUR TX     1  3  X  1  5
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 85W       X  3  2  1  6
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 87W      14  5  1  X 20
ST MARKS FL        X  1  3  2  6   GULF 28N 89W      55  X  X  X 55
APALACHICOLA FL    X  3  4  1  8   GULF 28N 91W      31  X  X  X 31
PANAMA CITY FL     1  5  6  X 12   GULF 28N 93W       4  3  X  X  7

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM MON TO  7PM MON
C FROM  7PM MON TO  7AM TUE
D FROM  7AM TUE TO  7AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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