[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 251901
HLSMFL
AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-252201-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
300 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2005

...KATRINA EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG BROWARD COUNTY COAST THIS
EVENING...

...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE..
UPDATED WIND IMPACT
UPDATED STORM SURGE/TIDE

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION FOR PERSONS IN MIAMI-DADE...
BROWARD...PALM BEACH...COLLIER...HENDRY...GLADES AND MAINLAND MONROE
COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AT 3 PM EDT...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL METROPOLITAN
PALM BEACH...BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
BISCAYNE BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR METROPOLITAN PALM
BEACH...BROWARD...AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
INLAND AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA INCLUDING GLADES...HENDRY...WESTERN PALM BEACH...
WESTERN BROWARD...AND WESTERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND AREAS OF SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA INCLUDING COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST
FROM BONITA BEACH SOUTHWARD TO OCEAN REEF INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND THE
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 3 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 79.6 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF FORT LAUDERDALE.
KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WILL
BRING THE CENTER OF KATRINA ONSHORE THE SOUTHEAST COAST...MOSTLY LIKELY IN
CENTRAL BROWARD COUNTY...THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL AND KATRINA
COULD BECOME CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE SOUTHEAST
COAST.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN COLLIER COUNTY...SCHOOLS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CLOSED FRIDAY. RESIDENTS OF
MOBILE HOMES ARE RECOMMENDED FOR EVACUATION AND A SHELTER WILL LIKELY BE
OPENED LATER TODAY...CHECK WITH COLLIER EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FOR DETAILS.

IN GLADES COUNTY...A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR MOBILE HOMES IN LOW LYING AREAS
BEGAN AT 1 PM TODAY. FOUR GENERAL SHELTERS AND ONE SPECIAL NEEDS SHELTER
WILL BE OPENED.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
WITH LANDFALL PREDICTED THIS EVENING THE STORM TIDE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST
NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER WILL BE NEAR LOW TIDE WITH STORM TIDE
HEIGHTS OF ABOUT 1 TO 2 FEET. LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES WILL HIT THE OCEAN
SHORELINE.

BISCAYNE BAY WILL EXPERIENCE AN OFFSHORE WIND...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN MUCH LOWER
THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

ON LAKE OKEECHOBEE...A PERSISTENT STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WIND WILL BLOW WATER AWAY
FROM THE NORTHEASTERN SHORE AND PILE WATER UP ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN SHORE AND
IN THE MOUTH OF FISHEATING CREEK. MAXIMUM STORM TIDE LEVELS ON THE SOUTHWEST
SIDE OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE...MAINLY FROM MOORE HAVEN TO CLEWISTON TO BELLE GLADE...
ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM 18 TO 19 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL...WHILE ON THE
NORTHEAST SIDE OF THE LAKE THE LEVEL COULD DROP TO 13 TO 14 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL. AS KATRINA MOVES INLAND...THE WIND WILL VEER TO THE EAST...WHICH WOULD
INCREASE THE PILING OF WATER INTO THE MOUTH OF FISHEATING CREEK. THIS SCENARIO
WOULD BE DIFFERENT IF KATRINA MOVES FARTHER NORTH THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.

WHILE KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO BE SOMEWHAT WEAKER AFTER MOVING ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA FRIDAY...THE WIND FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BE ONSHORE IN COLLIER AND
MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES AND A MAXIMUM STORM TIDE OF 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COLLIER BEACHES AROUND 800 PM FRIDAY EVENING NEAR
THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE.

...WIND IMPACTS...
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AT 245 PM SHOWS A SMALL AREA OF 70 MPH WINDS ON
THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE CENTER OF KATRINA IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 30 MILES
OFFSHORE HOLLYWOOD. WINDS OF THIS STRENGTH OR POSSIBLY A LITTLE HIGHER WILL
LIKELY MOVE ASHORE IN SOUTHEAST BROWARD AND ADJACENT NORTHEAST MIAMI-DADE COUNTY
THIS EVENING.

FREQUENT WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE...39 TO 73 MPH...CAN BE
EXPECTED IN SQUALLS AFFECTING THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. WINDS MAY REACH HURRICANE FORCE...GREATER THAN 73 MPH...NEAR THE
CENTER FROM AN HOUR OR TWO BEFORE TO AN HOUR AFTER LANDFALL EARLY TONIGHT...
ESPECIALLY IN THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS SHOULD LAST INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS FRIDAY. THESE WINDS WILL
CAUSE EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE AND CAN POSSIBLY DOWN POWER LINES AND TRAFFIC LIGHTS
ACROSS THE METRO AREAS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
WINDS OF 60 KNOTS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING IN THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF
BROWARD AND NORTHEAST MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES.

ON LAKE OKEECHOBEE...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS
EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WILL LAST ALL DAY FRIDAY AND FINALLY DIMINISH FRIDAY NIGHT. THE STRONGEST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE SOUTH SHORE...ESPECIALLY FROM MOORE HAVEN
AROUND TO CLEWISTON AND LAKE HARBOR AND BELLE GLADE.

...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS...
THE DISTRIBUTION OF RAIN AROUND KATRINA MAY FAVOR HEAVIER RAINS TO THE SOUTH
OF THE CENTER. THIS WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN BROWARD AND ALL OF MIAMI-DADE
COUNTIES. WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS RAINFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES
PER HOUR IN THE HEAVIEST RAIN BANDS...SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THESE HEAVIER
BANDS WILL BE MOVING ASHORE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF KATRINA MEANS THAT THERE WILL BE SUFFICIENT TIME FOR VERY
HEAVY...PROBABLY FLOOD PRODUCING RAINS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA FROM NOW UNTIL
SUNDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 15 TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE DUE TO
THE VERY SLOW MOVEMENT. EXAMPLES OF SIMILAR SLOW MOVING STORMS WERE IRENE IN
1999 AND THE DISTURBANCE OF OCTOBER 2 2000 WHICH PRODUCED LOCALIZED RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND CAUSED WIDESPREAD
FLOODING THAT LASTED FOR SEVERAL DAYS.

...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS...
THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED BRIEF TORNADOES IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS
THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING FRIDAY AND POSSIBLY SATURDAY...MAINLY TO THE
NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE MIAMI WEATHER FORECAST
OFFICE AROUND 6 PM TODAY.

FOR A GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF THIS LOCAL STATEMENT...PLEASE GO TO
OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO AND CLICK ON THE GRAPHICAL
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ICON.

$$

LUSHINE

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