[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 251437
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

26.2N  81.0W      48  X  X  X 48   FT MYERS FL       35  1  X  X 36
26.3N  82.0W      32  1  X  X 33   VENICE FL         24  4  1  X 29
26.7N  83.0W      15  8  2  1 26   TAMPA FL          17  6  2  1 26
MUHA 230N 824W     X  2  1  2  5   CEDAR KEY FL       3  9  4  4 20
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2   ST MARKS FL        X  1  6  8 15
MYGF 266N 787W    99  X  X  X 99   APALACHICOLA FL    X  1  5  9 15
MARATHON FL       18  1  X  1 20   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  3 10 13
MIAMI FL          99  X  X  X 99   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X 10 10
W PALM BEACH FL   99  X  X  X 99   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  7  7
FT PIERCE FL      53  X  X  X 53   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  7  7
COCOA BEACH FL    32  X  X  1 33   BURAS LA           X  X  X  7  7
DAYTONA BEACH FL  14  4  2  2 22   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  5  5
JACKSONVILLE FL    1  5  4  6 16   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  3  3
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  2  7  9   GULF 29N 85W       X  1  8  8 17
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  1  5  6   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  2 10 12
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  9  9
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  5  5
KEY WEST FL       12  3  1  1 17   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  2  2
MARCO ISLAND FL   34  X  X  X 34

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
C FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
D FROM  8AM SAT TO  8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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