[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 250402
HLSMFL
AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-251000-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1142 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2005

...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST...
...INLAND HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR INTERIOR SOUTH FLORIDA...
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST...

...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE..
UPDATED WATCHES/WARNINGS
UPDATED WIND IMPACT

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION FOR PERSONS IN MIAMI-DADE...
BROWARD...PALM BEACH...COLLIER...HENDRY...GLADES AND MAINLAND MONROE
COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AT 11 PM...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL METROPOLITAN
PALM BEACH...BROWARD AND MIAMI DADE COUNTIES AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND FOR
THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND BISCAYNE BAY. AN INLAND HURRICANE
WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR METROPOLITAN PALM BEACH...BROWARD...
AND MIAMI DADE COUNTIES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND
INLAND HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA
INCLUDING GLADES...HENDRY...WESTERN PALM BEACH...WESTERN BROWARD...AND
WESTERN MIAMI DADE COUNTIES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FOR SOUTHWEST FLORIDA INCLUDING COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. A
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA BEGINNING THURSDAY
MORNING.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES EAST OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...
SPECIFICALLY PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTIES. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
KATRINA COULD REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE MOVING ONSHORE THE
SOUTHEAST COAST LATER THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...SUSTAINED WINDS OF
74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN THE WARNING
AREA. PERSONS ARE URGED TO INITIATE THEIR HURRICANE PLAN. MONITOR ADVICE
FROM LOCAL SOUTH FLORIDA OFFICIALS AND HEED ANY EVACUATION ORDERS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
AT THIS TIME...MAXIMUM STORM TIDE LEVELS OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE EXPECTED NEAR
AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. HOWEVER...IF THE
STORM INTENSIFIES GREATER THAN FORECAST...HIGHER STORM TIDE LEVELS ARE
POSSIBLE. AS KATRINA APPROACHES THE COAST...MORE SPECIFIC STORM TIDE
FORECASTS WILL BE PROVIDED.

...WIND IMPACTS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL REACH OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA COAST LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING. AT THIS TIME...THEY ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT MAINLY COASTAL
SECTIONS NEAR WHERE THE STORM MAKES LANDFALL IF THE STORM REACHES
HURRICANE STATUS BEFORE THEN. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
SHOULD BEGIN MOVING INTO THE SOUTH FLORIDA ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS
THURSDAY MORNING AND BEGIN AFFECTING THE METRO SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST
THURSDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING AND SPREAD INLAND THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY. THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY CAUSE TREE LIMBS TO BLOW DOWN OR TREES
TO UPROOT CAUSING POWER OUTAGES.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTIES WITH THE FORECAST TRACK...INTENSITY...AND
SIZE OF THE STORM...THE MAXIMUM PROBABILITY OF EXPERIENCING TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS WITH THIS SYSTEM FROM WEST PALM BEACH TO MIAMI IS
NEAR 60 PERCENT. THE MAXIMUM PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS
BETWEEN 8 TO 10 PERCENT.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
WINDS IN THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST WILL
BE INCREASING LATE TONIGHT AND WILL LIKELY REACH SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE MIDDAY THURSDAY. AS NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE...SEAS
WILL BUILD RAPIDLY...ESPECIALLY IN THE GULF STREAM...AND SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. INCREASING WAVES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST WILL
MEAN A HIGHER DANGER OF RIP CURRENTS BEGINNING ON THURSDAY.

...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS...
THE VERY SLOW MOVEMENT OF KATRINA MEANS THAT THERE WILL BE SUFFICIENT
TIME FOR VERY HEAVY...PROBABLY FLOOD PRODUCING RAINS ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 15 TO 20
INCHES. EXAMPLES OF SIMILAR SLOW MOVING STORMS WERE IRENE IN 1999 AND
THE DISTURBANCE OF OCTOBER 2 2000 WHICH PRODUCED LOCALIZED RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH FLORIDA WHICH CAUSED
WIDESPREAD FLOODING THAT LASTED FOR SEVERAL DAYS. WHILE THERE IS MUCH
UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS SYSTEM...SOUTH FLORIDA RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD PRODUCING RAINS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS...
THERE IS A CHANCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OCCURRING IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS
BEGINNING THURSDAY AND CONTINUING FRIDAY AND POSSIBLY SATURDAY...MAINLY
TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE MIAMI WEATHER FORECAST
OFFICE AROUND 6 AM THURSDAY.

FOR A GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF THIS LOCAL STATEMENT...PLEASE GO TO
OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO AND CLICK ON THE GRAPHICAL
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ICON.

$$

PS/JL

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