[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 240831
SPFAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

25.5N  78.0W      50  X  X  X 50   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  6  6
25.9N  78.9W      31  1  X  X 32   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  3  3
26.1N  80.0W      17  4  1  2 24   KEY WEST FL        1  4  3  5 13
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  3  3   MARCO ISLAND FL    2  9  4  3 18
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  2  2   FT MYERS FL        1  9  5  4 19
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  1  4  5   VENICE FL          X  7  6  5 18
MYSM 241N 745W    22  X  X  X 22   TAMPA FL           X  5  7  6 18
MYEG 235N 758W    99  X  X  X 99   CEDAR KEY FL       X  1  6  8 15
MYAK 241N 776W    55  X  X  X 55   ST MARKS FL        X  X  2  8 10
MYNN 251N 775W    67  X  X  X 67   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  2  8 10
MYGF 266N 787W    28  1  1  X 30   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  1  7  8
MARATHON FL        3  6  2  4 15   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  5  5
MIAMI FL          14  4  2  2 22   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  3  3
W PALM BEACH FL   13  7  2  2 24   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  2  2
FT PIERCE FL       5 11  3  3 22   BURAS LA           X  X  X  2  2
COCOA BEACH FL     1 10  5  4 20   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  3  8 11
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  4  6  6 16   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  7  7
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  3  8 11   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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