[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 240249
SPFAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE AUG 23 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

25.1N  77.7W      52  X  X  X 52   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  2  9 11
25.7N  78.5W      36  1  X  X 37   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  6  6
26.1N  79.5W      18  6  1  1 26   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  3  3
MUCF 221N 805W     X  1  X  3  4   KEY WEST FL        1  5  3  5 14
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  2  2   MARCO ISLAND FL    X 10  4  4 18
MUHA 230N 824W     X  1  1  4  6   FT MYERS FL        X  8  5  5 18
MYSM 241N 745W    47  X  X  X 47   VENICE FL          X  4  7  6 17
MYEG 235N 758W    99  X  X  X 99   TAMPA FL           X  2  7  7 16
MYAK 241N 776W    51  X  X  X 51   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  5  9 14
MYNN 251N 775W    54  X  X  X 54   ST MARKS FL        X  X  1  8  9
MYGF 266N 787W    21  5  1  X 27   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  1  8  9
MARATHON FL        4  7  2  3 16   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  7  7
MIAMI FL           9  9  2  2 22   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  4  4
W PALM BEACH FL    4 13  3  2 22   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  2  2
FT PIERCE FL       1 11  5  3 20   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  1  9 10
COCOA BEACH FL     X  7  6  6 19   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  6  6
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  1  7  7 15   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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