[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 221524
SPFAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
NOON EDT MON AUG 22 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT NOON EDT...1600Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  95.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT THU AUG 25 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

19.9N  97.6W      46  X  X  X 46   MMTM 222N 979W     6  X  X  X  6
                  99  X  X  X 99   MMTX 210N 974W    33  X  X  X 33
                  99  X  X  X 99   MMVR 192N 961W    64  X  X  X 64

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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