[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 170834
SPFAT4
HURRICANE IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  51
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED AUG 17 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  60.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SAT AUG 20 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

41.0N  52.8W      32  6  X  X 38   ILE ST PIERRE      X  2  X  X  2
46.7N  46.5W       X 14  6  X 20   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  8  2  X 10
54.7N  39.2W       X  X  8  X  8   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X 13  6  X 19

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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