[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 162029
SPFAT4
HURRICANE IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  49
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE AUG 16 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST FRI AUG 19 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

38.8N  57.3W      27  6  X  X 33   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  1  2  3
42.0N  52.5W       1 18  8  X 27   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  1  6  3 10
47.0N  46.0W       X  X 13  4 17   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  1 12  4 17

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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