[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 161431
SPFAT4
HURRICANE IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST TUE AUG 16 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST FRI AUG 19 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

38.3N  58.8W      30  3  X  1 34   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  2  1  3
41.0N  54.5W       X 17  8  X 25   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  5  2  7
46.0N  48.0W       X  X 11  5 16   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X 10  3 13
SABLE ISLAND NS    X  2  2  X  4   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  9  7 16

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
C FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
D FROM  8AM THU TO  8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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