[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 160231
SPFAT4
HURRICANE IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  46
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON AUG 15 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST THU AUG 18 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

38.2N  59.8W      31  2  X  X 33   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  2  1  3
40.4N  56.3W       1 18  4  X 23   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  1  3  4
43.5N  51.5W       X  1 13  3 17   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  2  4  6
HALIFAX NS         X  X  1  1  2   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  5  5 10
SABLE ISLAND NS    X  4  6  1 11   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  7  6 13
SYDNEY NS          X  X  3  1  4   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  3 11 14

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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