[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 151430
SPFAT4
HURRICANE IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  44
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON AUG 15 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  67.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST THU AUG 18 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

38.5N  62.5W      28  1  X  X 29   EDDY POINT NS      X  1  4  1  6
40.0N  59.5W       2 14  2  X 18   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  2  4  6
42.0N  56.0W       X  3  9  2 14   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  3  5  8
HALIFAX NS         X  2  2  1  5   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  5  5 10
SABLE ISLAND NS    X  5  6  1 12   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  3  8 11
SYDNEY NS          X  1  4  2  7   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  9  9

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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