[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 141438
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN AUG 14 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST WED AUG 17 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

37.0N  67.3W      23  1  X  X 24   ST JOHN NB         X  1  3  2  6
38.6N  64.5W       1 13  2  1 17   MONCTON NB         X  X  3  3  6
39.7N  61.5W       X  3  8  3 14   YARMOUTH NS        X  3  4  2  9
BERMUDA            1  3  2  1  7   HALIFAX NS         X  1  5  3  9
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  2  X  X  2   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  3  8 11
PROVIDENCE RI      X  2  1  X  3   SYDNEY NS          X  X  1  7  8
NANTUCKET MA       1  5  1  X  7   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  3  6  9
HYANNIS MA         1  3  1  1  6   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  6  6
BOSTON MA          X  2  1  X  3   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  6  6
PORTLAND ME        X  1  1  1  3   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  7  7
BAR HARBOR ME      X  2  2  1  5   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  5  5
EASTPORT ME        X  1  3  2  6

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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