[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 140235
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SAT AUG 13 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST TUE AUG 16 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

35.6N  69.3W      33  1  X  X 34   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  1  4  5
37.4N  67.3W       1 16  2  X 19   EASTPORT ME        X  X  1  5  6
38.7N  64.3W       X  2 10  3 15   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  6  6
BERMUDA            X  3  3  1  7   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  5  5
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  1  X  1  2   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  2  6  8
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  1  1  X  2   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  8  8
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  2  3  1  6   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  8  8
PROVIDENCE RI      X  1  3  2  6   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  5  5
NANTUCKET MA       X  2  5  2  9   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  6  6
HYANNIS MA         X  1  5  1  7   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  3  3
BOSTON MA          X  X  4  1  5   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  3  3
PORTLAND ME        X  X  2  2  4   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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