[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 130252
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI AUG 12 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  68.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST MON AUG 15 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.4N  70.3W      64  X  X  X 64   NORFOLK VA         X  X  3  7 10
33.0N  70.6W      26  6  1  X 33   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1  8  9
34.6N  70.5W       1 14  4  2 21   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  6  6
BERMUDA            X  X  2  4  6   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  5  5
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  4  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  1  3  4   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  3  3
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  3  4  7   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  3  3
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  5  5 10   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  3  3
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  1  7  4 12   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
C FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
D FROM  8PM SUN TO  8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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