[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 121441
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI AUG 12 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST MON AUG 15 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

30.0N  69.3W      75  X  X  X 75   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  1  6  7
31.0N  70.0W      44  X  X  X 44   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  1  7  8
32.0N  71.0W      14  9  1  1 25   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  2  7  9
BERMUDA            X  X  2  5  7   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  2  7  9
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  2  2   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  6  6
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  3  3   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  4  4
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  5  5   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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