[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 112041
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU AUG 11 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SUN AUG 14 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

27.8N  67.6W      66  X  X  X 66   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  3  3
28.5N  69.1W      30  9  X  X 39   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  3  3
29.1N  70.5W       1 22  1  1 25   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  3  3
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  4  4
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  4  4
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  4  4   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  4  4
BERMUDA            X  X  1  4  5   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  4  4
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  2  2   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  3  3
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  3  3   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  2  2
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  3  3   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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