[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 111446
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST THU AUG 11 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SUN AUG 14 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

27.2N  66.4W      49  X  X  X 49   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  2  2
28.0N  68.0W      24  9  X  X 33   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  3  3
28.6N  69.5W       3 20  3  1 27   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  4  4
BERMUDA            X  X  1  2  3   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  4  4
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
C FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
D FROM  8AM SAT TO  8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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