[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 110845
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU AUG 11 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SUN AUG 14 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

26.0N  64.9W      46  X  X  X 46   BERMUDA            X  X  1  3  4
27.0N  66.7W      13 18  X  X 31   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  2  2
27.9N  68.3W       X 19  6  1 26   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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