[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 102044
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED AUG 10 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  58.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SAT AUG 13 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

24.1N  62.8W      52  X  X  X 52   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  2  2
25.1N  65.1W       2 33  X  X 35   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2
26.1N  67.3W       X 10 17  1 28   BERMUDA            X  X  X  3  3
MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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