[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 101437
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED AUG 10 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  57.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SAT AUG 13 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

23.7N  61.9W      52  X  X  X 52   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  2  2
24.6N  64.3W       2 34  1  X 37   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2
25.7N  66.6W       X  9 20  X 29   BERMUDA            X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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