[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 100840
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED AUG 10 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  57.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SAT AUG 13 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

23.7N  61.1W      50  X  X  X 50   25.7N  65.5W       X 11 17  X 28
24.6N  63.4W       3 32  1  X 36   BERMUDA            X  X  X  4  4

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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