[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 100233
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE AUG 09 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  55.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST FRI AUG 12 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

24.0N  59.4W      46  X  X  X 46   25.9N  63.9W       X 13 13  1 27
25.0N  61.6W       7 25  X  X 32   BERMUDA            X  X  X  5  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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